Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 79.688478 89.299380 99.145727 109.956812 121.463400 133.315611 146.417719
2024-12-22 64.560016 78.293590 93.009118 109.825508 128.390678 148.148859 170.655907
2024-12-29 56.331558 72.447608 90.286427 111.244275 134.951490 160.716860 190.619195
2025-01-05 50.471335 68.376423 88.762208 113.274310 141.556134 172.808419 209.606737
2025-01-12 44.083400 62.957918 85.058619 112.233413 144.175208 180.014730 222.767764
2025-01-19 37.951174 57.244361 80.487736 109.703020 144.660593 184.450504 232.490742
2025-01-26 35.748860 56.181563 81.320354 113.420987 152.315130 197.026729 251.453796
2025-02-02 33.352099 54.631566 81.364548 116.028705 158.534233 207.855681 268.354898
2025-02-09 29.632081 51.023076 78.569511 114.928067 160.120964 213.111723 278.664211
2025-02-16 26.330994 47.705854 75.921470 113.813028 161.526940 218.027347 288.474510
2025-02-23 24.171899 45.805360 74.981883 114.741604 165.351524 225.767649 301.581164
2025-03-02 21.841669 43.464867 73.305582 114.598138 167.746934 231.717901 312.512388
2025-03-09 19.979867 41.703439 72.350311 115.371172 171.314996 239.156653 325.341097
2025-03-16 17.662235 39.048003 70.013965 114.208050 172.349799 243.451884 334.365964
2025-03-23 16.410665 37.963396 69.805823 115.822748 176.888967 252.030948 348.566769
2025-03-30 15.393295 37.171223 69.955475 117.878024 181.971759 261.276807 363.590745
2025-04-06 13.617829 34.943720 67.894854 116.815250 182.931988 265.343258 372.256051
2025-04-13 11.634456 32.142386 64.823847 114.220982 181.779022 266.682693 377.509827
2025-04-20 11.346044 32.372235 66.325561 118.031799 189.095815 278.707454 395.974080
2025-04-27 10.816547 32.104089 67.033285 120.703856 194.896862 288.825977 412.104386
2025-05-04 9.508019 30.215747 65.127705 119.576128 195.565332 292.392333 420.081013
2025-05-11 8.320318 28.420553 63.267961 118.433538 196.152542 295.812296 427.846736
2025-05-18 7.629258 27.565867 62.871053 119.385064 199.555939 302.833895 440.120867